Dick Morris was on the O’Reilly Factor earlier tonight (1/16/08) discussing the race after Michigan for the Republicans and briefly discussing the chance of Barack Obama as a VP on the Democratic side.
I would generally agree with Morris’ assessment so far for the Republicans. South Carolina is going to be interesting, especially if Romney, McCain, or Huckabee actually pick up another win. Of course, Romney’s already won 2 states since everyone forgets about poor old Wyoming. But still, South Carolina is the all-important Southern primary for the GOP.
The notion of Obama as a VP strikes me as big possibility because of his tremendous likability numbers. He would sort of balance Hillary as the nominee by providing the “warm fuzzy” side. Not that she isn’t warm and fuzzy, but she’s spent so much time proving she’s strong and experienced.
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Obama as VP sounds really far-fetched. Richardson is much better poised to be VP, and Obama’s platform (whether he has been direct about this or not) is diametrically opposed to Hillary’s.
If he accepts a VP from the ‘established’ part of Washington, the part that he and Edwards has said is broken, it would be a turning back on his speeches, his values, and his main points for his candidacy.
Obama did not fair well in the debate last night– we was very honest (to a fault) and like they said on FOX, passive. He may be trying to underline his early issues that he is not going to go “negative,” nor get “political.” But this was done in a very subtle way (if he did this at all) and thus had very little positive effects.
He needed to be more confident at that debate, more warm (smile a bit), and assert himself. He didn’t do this– and this could tip the scale for the Nevada people.
I think it is a little early to be even be thinking that Obama might be Hillary’s VP. It assumes that because of one less than perfect debate he is going to lose the nomination. Particularly given the uncertainty that one will be decided before Feb 5th.
Will, I agree that we should not be ‘jumping to conclusions.’ Obama is still very much in the hunt, my comment was just that being 8 points behind Hillary in the national polls and significantly far behind in the large delegate states of Florida, California, etc., he cannot afford the slack and mistakes Hillary can.
I thought Obama as the VP sounded far-fetched as well but he’s got major popularity. He may not add experience, but he has a huge following and it would be a way to unite the Democratic party after all this back and further over racial issues.
Richardson is by far more qualified, but he doesn’t seem to bring the voters like Obama does.