Maybe, according to the Des Moines Register, he’s leading in their latest poll:

Barack Obama has pulled ahead in the race for Iowa’s Democratic presidential caucuses, while the party’s national frontrunner Hillary Clinton has slipped to second in the leadoff nominating state, according to The Des Moines Register’s new Iowa Poll.

Despite the movement, the race for 2008’s opening nominating contest remains very competitive about a month before the Jan. 3 caucuses, just over half of likely caucusgoers who favor a candidate saying they could change their minds.

Obama, an Illinois senator, leads for the first time in the Register’s poll as the choice of 28 percent of likely caucusgoers, up from 22 percent in October. Clinton, a New York senator, was the preferred candidate of 25 percent, down from 29 percent in the previous poll.

Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards, who led in the Register’s May poll, held steady with 23 percent, in third place, but part of the three-way battle.

It’s still a a three-way tie, but a new American Research Group poll has him leading as well:

American Research Group Poll:

Obama - 27%
Clinton - 25%
Edwards - 23%

It’s still a three-way tie essentially, but this is another huge trending upset in Iowa as is Huckabee for the Republicans over Romney at this point.

Iowa appears to be gearing up to buck the national polls and toss the race into a loop.

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